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Epoetin Payment: Focus On Clinical Benefit


September 23rd, 2008
by Dennis Cotter

Editor’s Note: The post by Dennis Cotter below addresses the way in which Medicare should incorporate erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (epoetin) into its composite-rate payment for end-stage renal disease treatment. Watch for subsequent posts on this topic from Amgen and others. 

Statement of the problem. The Medicare Prescription Drug, Improvement, and Modernization Act (MMA) mandates that the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) recommend a strategy to incorporate separately billable drugs — the most expensive being erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) to treat dialysis-related anemia — into the composite rate for end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Congress has directed the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) to use historical archived data to assess an equitable payment for ESAs. Given its documented overuse and recent allegations of “gaming” in preparation for future ESA bundling, we feel that the CMS approach is problematic. We encourage Health Affairs readers to enter into a discussion regarding alternative evidence-based approaches, especially those that incorporate clinical criteria, to determining a fair and equitable method of bundling ESAs.

Background. The Preserving Access to Medicare Act of 2008 calls for rewarding clinically effective health care and reforming Medicare. Given that the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) cites that as much as one-third of the nation’s $2.1 trillion 2006 health care expenditure was wasteful, this legislation comes at a critical time, as more costly diagnostic and therapeutic technologies enter into the U.S. health care system. To adopt a more rational approach, the U.S. Congress’ Medicare Payment Advisory Commission (MedPAC) recommends that the “Secretary [of HHS] should introduce clinical criteria for eligibility of drugs and biologicals . . . (arguing that clinical benefit be a criterion),” for newly approved drugs and biologicals. Recently, the Institute of Medicine (IOM) echoed similar recommendations: “Solutions to some of the nation’s most pressing health policy problems hinge on the ability to identify which diagnostic, treatment, and prevention services work best for various patients and circumstances.”

In setting fixed payments — resulting in a shift in provider incentives from a profit to a cost center — Medicare’s prospective payment system (PPS) encourages providers to select an appropriate amount, type, and intensity of service for its beneficiaries. Medicare’s ESRD program is the country’s first national health care program and employs a composite-rate (fixed) payment scheme similar to PPS for the care of ESRD patients — a scheme employed to achieve this prudent use PPS goal.

Until now, ESAs used to treat dialysis-related anemia have not been included in the ESRD composite-rate payment. However, Section 623(f) of MMA requires HHS to make recommendations on the design of a bundled PPS for ESRD services that includes separately billed drugs and other services. An important example of the challenge that lies ahead is the CMS proposal to use historical drug use charges as the basis for calculating the future fixed payment adjustment for ESAs (or epoetin) for dialysis patients — a conundrum that pits the interests of a single supplier (Amgen) against those of essentially a single payer (Medicare).

Unlike traditional market forces made up of competing health care technologies used to treat similar conditions that set prices based on demand, critics maintain that the single-source ESA product and corresponding Medicare policy rewards overuse, accounting for approximately 25% (approximately $2 billion in 2005) of Medicare ESRD costs. In implementing Congress’ directive, CMS proposes to use utilization data (patient claims and Medicare cost report information during 2007-09) as the baseline for calculating the adjustment to the ESRD composite-rate amount. However, since 1991, the congressional Office of Technology Assessment (OTA), U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO), CBO, MedPAC, and others have reported that the Medicare payment for separately billed services has created perverse incentives that have led to overuse of ESAs. The proposal to use archived Medicare claims data containing arguably historical overuse of this product appears to be a flawed approach.

Current use patterns and clinical benefit. ESA use among Medicare dialysis patients requires that caregivers submit both a monthly dose and achieved hematocrit on their claims for payment — a unique Medicare billing requirement. Analyzing this information, Thamer et al (2007) found that dialysis facilities’ organizational status and ownership were associated with variation in epoetin dosing in the United States. Large for-profit chain facilities used larger dose adjustments and targeted higher hematocrit levels compared to smaller nonprofit units. In terms of clinical benefit, recent clinical trials have shown that patients targeted to higher hematocrit levels with higher epoetin doses might have an increased mortality.

As a result of these concerns, a recent Food and Drug Administration (FDA) black-box warning advises health care providers to use “the lowest [epoetin] dose possible to gradually increase the hemoglobin concentration” and to maintain the hematocrit level below 36%. Based on our analysis of Medicare claims data, a dose-response study (KI 2008) indicates that, on average, a starting dose of 2,500-5,000 units per treatment can maintain the hematocrit level in the desired target range of 33-36%. However, Lazarus et al. (2007) reported that the largest U.S. for-profit dialysis facility chain used a mean epoetin dose of approximately 8,100 units per treatment in 2006.

Cost impact. Compared to the CMS’ stated method proposing to use historical data, which might further ensconce excessive payment amounts in the adjustment, if epoetin were to be bundled into the ESRD composite rate based on our dose-response research (KI 2008), current Medicare epoetin payments (around $2.5 billion per year) would be reduced by approximately 53%. In addition to the widely documented historical overuse of ESAs discussed earlier, there have been concerns regarding “gaming” of billing and cost information, as alleged in cited sworn testimony.(1) Legislation directing the CMS to fold ESA costs into the ESRD composite-rate payment adjustment might overstate a fair and equitable adjustment amount, resulting in a windfall payment opportunity to dialysis providers should they cut back on ESA dose levels once the new system is implemented.

The challenge. We encourage Congress to implement the advice of their agencies and the IOM to use documented clinical benefit as the foundation for bundling ESAs. Because of this rare opportunity to study both drug dose and hematocrit response, we have an ability to look at the clinical effectiveness of a costly therapeutic intervention in a “real-world” setting. This is the place that we must start!

Footnote (1):  “He said we, meaning Fresenius, have a tacit agreement with Amgen to allow them to increase price of EPO in the time period before bundling, and we, Fresenius, will take less profit in the interim because that will keep the price and the reimbursement rates that go into the bundle higher.” Hoffmann-La Roche Inc. against an infringement suit brought by Amgen Inc. over Amgen’s erythropoietin anemia drug, testimony of Barbara Senich, Vice President of Marketing and Sales for Roche Testimony, pp. 556-609, Part IV, United States District Court for the District of Massachusetts, Civil Action no. 05-12237-WGY, AMGEN, INC., Plaintiff, v. F. HOFFMANN-LA ROCHE LTD, ROCHE DIAGNOSTICS GmbH, and HOFFMANN-LA ROCHE, INC., Defendants. Daily Transcript of Evidentiary Hearing in re Remedy Phase (Volume 4), BEFORE: The Honorable William G. Young, District Judge, 1 Courthouse Way, Boston, Massachusetts, December 7, 2007.

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    September 23rd, 2008 at 5:40 pm

2 Responses to “Epoetin Payment: Focus On Clinical Benefit”

  1. Dennis Cotter Says:

    Dr. Richard Hirth raises several possible mitigating factors that might permit a more equitable payment for epoetin bundled into the composite rate. Dr. Hirth dutifully points out that it is however “impossible” to predict if even these mitigating factors are sufficient to avoid over-payment. I’m not as confident as Dr. Hirth when he suggests that “utilization data from 2007-09 will reflect any changes in clinical practice arising from the well-publicized research demonstrating the risks of treating to achieve a high hematocrit level.” Due to CMS’ recalcitrance – CMS has not changed its policies to align itself with FDA recommendations – I do not expect a lowering of dose since it would undercut the price CMS will ultimately peg in the future composite rate adjustment.

    To return to the main point of the blog, I feel that CMS’ perverse incentives leading to overuse of epoetin have made historical data overstate the appropriate amount of epoetin needed to achieve a reasonable hematocrit. In lieu of using this type of information, evidence-based empirical studies – based on carefully conducted peer-reviewed methodologies – should form a rational basis for the design of a bundled epoetin payment. Specifically, real world dose-response and dose-survival relationships should be used as the basis for determining appropriate dosing ranges and reimbursement. As I pointed out in the original ‘Focus on Clinical Benefit’ thesis, we have conducted such a study that suggests a plateauing of hematocrit above a threshold dose. We are also in the process of publishing an article suggesting no survival benefits at higher epoetin doses. These findings demonstrate the clinical effectiveness (and limits) of epoetin therapy; are easily reproducible by other researchers; and are therefore transparent (not proprietary). Only after such rigorous studies, should important and expensive health care policy decisions be made and implemented at patients’ and taxpayers’ expense.

  2. Richard Hirth Says:

    Dennis Cotter raises a number of important and perplexing issues. ESAs for dialysis patients are provided under a system of tri-lateral market power. Medicare is a near single payer (monopsonist), covering about three quarters of US dialysis sessions. Amgen is a monopolist in the ESA market whose patent protection has been extended (and given the lack of a clear regulatory path for developments of generic biologics, it is unclear that their monopoly power would even be eroded by patent expiration). Following a series of mergers, the Fresenius and Davita chains have nearly obtained a duopoly position in the dialysis clinic market. Clearly, the complexity facing CMS as they try to develop a bundled payment policy for ESAs is great.
    Dr. Cotter’s main point is that using historical utilization data to guide policy development in a non-competitive market-place that is also undergoing substantial change with respect to clinical practices is fraught with danger. As the principal investigator on the contract from CMS to perform the research underlying the bundling of ESAs, I am acutely aware of these issues. However, there are several reasons to expect the problems to be mitigated. First, CMS has already undertaken and number of drug re-pricings to better reflect acquisition costs, and curb the incentives for over-utilization. Nonetheless, those acquisition costs are bargained between a monopoly seller and two dominant buyers, so any assumption that they reflect marginal cost of production (plus a reasonable return to the innovator) is necessarily questionable. Second, utilization data from 2007-09 will reflect any changes in clinical practice arising from the well-publicized research demonstrating the risks of treating to achieve a high hematocrit level. Third, the legislation provides for a bundled payment equal to 98% of the fee-for-service average. Given that about two-thirds of the new bundle was already in the prior composite rate bundle, this amounts to assuming about a 6% reduction in the utilization of the drugs, biologics, and lab tests that are being brought into the bundle.
    Will these factors be sufficient to ensure that the new bundle does not over-pay for the utilization of ESAs and other items that will be paid prospectively in 2011? Unfortunately, that is impossible to predict. Having only historical data generated under a different incentive regime is endemic to building any prospective payment system. As Cotter notes, the dialysis payment system is in the unique position of collecting data on the primary clinical outcome (anemia status) being treated biologics in question. It is crucial to continue to collect and monitor those data (and related issues such as shifts from intravenous to subcutaneous administration, which decreases the required ESA dose), and to have the flexibility to adjust the payment rates in accordance with the data.

    Richard Hirth
    Department of Health Management and Policy
    University of Michigan

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