December 18th, 2014
On September 23, 2014, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) released Year 1 Quality Performance results for Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs) that began participating in the Medicare Shared Savings Program (MSSP) in 2012 or 2013. Another report, released shortly before, outlined financial performance of the ACOs and showed that only 49 ACOs, or 22 percent of those ACOs, qualified for shared savings payments by successfully reducing total spending.
Opportunity for continued quality improvement aside, a troublesome snag for the program could be a very low correlation between improved quality and earned savings: our analysis shows that, in performance year one, improved quality and earned savings only correlate at 8.6 percent, so low that it is statistically insignificant (Figure 1).
In practice, this means that better quality is not associated with better financial results. Twenty-one of the 49 ACOs that did earn shared savings actually scored below the average quality of the group. For the first year, quality outcomes did not affect the size of shared savings payments, but in future years ACOs that perform poorly on quality measures will lose a portion of any shared savings.Read the rest of this entry »