November 4th, 2013
The November issue of Health Affairs, released today, discusses how the US health care workforce can respond to the Affordable Care Act’s expanded coverage and new models of care, as well as to an aging population. Some notable studies in the issue are described below, and the issue will be discussed at a Washington DC briefing on Thursday, November 14.
The aging population’s implications for specialty care and primary care.A study by Timothy Dall of IHS Inc. and coauthors forecasts future demand for health care services and providers based on projected demographics and other predictive changes, including the expected effects of expanded health insurance coverage under the Affordable Care Act. The authors project that demand for adult primary care services will grow by roughly 14 percent between 2013 and 2015, and demand for certain specialty care services will grow even faster at a high of 31 percent growth for vascular surgery. Cardiology (20 percent) and neurological surgery, radiology, and general surgery (each 18 percent) round out the list of the top five.
Dall and coauthors caution that failure to address the inadequate number and inappropriate mix of specialty care providers will further contribute to long wait times, reduce access to care, and decrease patients’ quality of life.
Diabetes patients in patient-centered medical homes are well served by nonphysicians and physicians alike. In this first study to compare the effectiveness of physician assistants (PA) and nurse practitioners (NP) roles to physician-only care for patients with chronic disease, Christine Everett of Duke University and coauthors found that patient outcomes were generally the same in thirteen comparisons. In four comparisons, PA and NP care was found to be superior; in three, the physician-only outcomes were higher.Read the rest of this entry »